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The non-linearity of inflation psychology and the present danger of stagflation + MORE

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Wall Street firmed led by strong energy prices. Bigger than expected output disruption in Nigeria and positive views from Goldman Sachs have helped lift oil prices to 6-month highs. The front-month WTI crude contract initially soared to US$47.98, the highest level since November, before settling at US$47…

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The FOMC minutes for the April meeting unveiled that policymakers were more hawkish than previously. They judged that it might be justified to increase interest rates in June if economic data suggest growth were picking up in 2Q16, job market continued to improve and inflation were making progress to reach the +2% target…

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Shares in Asia climb higher on Monday although macroeconomic data released in China over the weekend were generally disappointing. China’s CSI 300 opened lower but then recovered to be gaining slightly at the time of writing this report. This follows a -1.75% decline 3034.9 last week. Equities elsewhere firm, probably carrying forward the bullish tone after strong US data last Friday…

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World-wide, markets are horribly distorted, which spells danger not only to investors, but to businesses and their employees as well, because it is impossible to allocate capital efficiently in this financial environment.
With markets everywhere disrupted by interventions from central banks, governments, and their sovereign wealth funds, economic progress is being badly hampered, and therefore so is the ability of anyone to earn the profits required to pay down the highs levels of debt we see today…

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Speculations of Fed funds rate hike in June rekindled, driven by better-than-expected US data and Fed presidents’ comments. Wall Street reversed earlier gains as pressured by consumer staples and utility, with DJIA and S&P 500 losing -1.02% and 0.94% respectively. US dollar weakened a tad against commodity currencies but is recovering ground in Asian morning on Wednesday…

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The non-linearity of inflation psychology and the present danger of stagflation
Introduction
Ever since the 2008-09 global financial crisis there has been a lively debate between those anticipating a prolonged deflation and those predicting a transition to inflation. In certain respects, both sides of the debate have been correct, if sometimes confusing monetary, credit and price inflation…

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This week, clients have been net buying in silver and palladium, whilst net selling gold and platinum.
Clients have been speculating the market and have been taking advantage of the price reduction as silver dipped below the psychological level of $17.00/oz
GoldMoney’s clients have favoured the Singapore, Canadian, and London vaults this week with less preference being shown for the Swiss vaults…

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